Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.120505 0.139176 0.159536 0.183353 0.210417 0.240179 0.275352
2024-12-15 0.098167 0.124416 0.155506 0.194904 0.243347 0.300802 0.373933
2024-12-22 0.076980 0.106133 0.143327 0.193931 0.260609 0.345044 0.459576
2024-12-29 0.066204 0.098345 0.142121 0.205480 0.294090 0.412732 0.582540
2025-01-05 0.055659 0.088595 0.136235 0.209187 0.316848 0.468372 0.695822
2025-01-12 0.045603 0.077491 0.126300 0.205076 0.327251 0.507240 0.789377
2025-01-19 0.038242 0.069060 0.118765 0.202953 0.339560 0.549292 0.891080
2025-01-26 0.034826 0.066377 0.119671 0.213832 0.372745 0.625574 1.051574
2025-02-02 0.031700 0.063587 0.119840 0.223237 0.404229 0.701822 1.218860
2025-02-09 0.026733 0.056541 0.111539 0.216807 0.408056 0.733170 1.315742
2025-02-16 0.023239 0.051656 0.106334 0.215000 0.419316 0.777425 1.437479
2025-02-23 0.019863 0.046393 0.099597 0.209322 0.422664 0.807877 1.537540
2025-03-02 0.017186 0.042182 0.094430 0.206209 0.430859 0.848494 1.660958
2025-03-09 0.015573 0.040015 0.093086 0.210501 0.453681 0.917846 1.842786
2025-03-16 0.013354 0.036037 0.087322 0.204886 0.456200 0.949328 1.956916
2025-03-23 0.012564 0.035338 0.088613 0.214422 0.490544 1.044898 2.201277
2025-03-30 0.011366 0.033391 0.086784 0.216828 0.510141 1.113083 2.397864
2025-04-06 0.009871 0.030371 0.081971 0.211798 0.513100 1.147883 2.530703
2025-04-13 0.008712 0.028024 0.078414 0.209186 0.521002 1.193358 2.688755
2025-04-20 0.008360 0.027893 0.080393 0.220128 0.560730 1.309104 3.001736
2025-04-27 0.007957 0.027538 0.081735 0.229648 0.598093 1.422753 3.318859
2025-05-04 0.006915 0.025019 0.076939 0.222972 0.596315 1.450582 3.453591
2025-05-11 0.006185 0.023326 0.074134 0.221077 0.605855 1.504299 3.648955